SPEPS収録論文
12.Projection and impact assessment of global change
Anthropogenic forcings on global environment are expected to cause intensification of extreme events, sea level rise, ocean acidification, as well as large-scale ecosystem changes. The CMIP6 experimental protocol has been established, based on which modeling groups across the world are starting to provide environmental projection data toward 6th IPCC assessment report due in 2021. Various new types of studies, such as event attribution and coupling of socio-economic processes and Earth system dynamics, are also emerging in the field of global change projection. In addition, impact assessment studies using downscaling technique are becoming increasingly more important for grasping the significance of environmental changes for our society. Interactions and collaborations beyond boundaries of conventional scientific disciplines are desired for dealing with the issues of global change. In this special issue SPEPS, we invite authors to contribute latest researches or reviews on global change from disciplinary and interdisciplinary viewpoints. The scope ranges over, but not limited to, development of climate/Earth system models, their applications on projections on global and regional scales, impact assessments with a particular emphasis on Asia, and cross-cutting studies with social scientists.
Edited by: Tatsuo Suzuki, Masayoshi Ishii, Kenji Tanaka, Roy Rasmussen
preface: Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences
Published: April 30, 2021
Preface for “Projection and impact assessment of global change”
Michio Kawamiya, Masayoshi Ishii, Nobuhito Mori, Eiichi Nakakita,Izuru Takayabu, Masahiro Watanabe
review: Interdisciplinary research
Published: April 8, 2021
Identifying key processes and sectors in the interaction between climate and socio-economic systems: a review toward integrating Earth–human systems
Tachiiri K, Su X, Matsumoto K
research: Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences
Published: January 22, 2021
Evaluation of the contribution of tropical cyclone seeds to changes in tropical cyclone frequency due to global warming in high-resolution multi-model ensemble simulations
Yamada Y, Kodama C, Satoh M, Sugi M, Roberts MJ, Mizuta R, Noda A, Nasuno T, Nakano M, Vidale PL
methodologies: Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences
Published: January 14, 2021
Development of high-resolution future ocean regional projection datasets for coastal applications in Japan
Nishikawa S, Wakamatsu T, Ishizaki H, Sakamoto K, Tanaka Y, Tsujino H, Yamanaka G, Kamachi M, Ishikawa Y
research: Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences
Published: January 6, 2021
Impact of Climate Change on Flood Inundation in a Tropical River Basin in Indonesia
Yamamoto K, Sayama T, Apip
research: Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences
Published: December 14, 2020
Impact of air–sea coupling on the probability of occurrence of heat waves in Japan
Hasegawa A, Imada Y, Shiogama H, Mori M, Tatebe H, Watanabe M
research: Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences
Published: December 14, 2020
Comparison of regional characteristics of land precipitation climatology projected by an MRI-AGCM multi-cumulus scheme and multi-SST ensemble with CMIP5 multi-model ensemble projections
Ito R, Nakaegawa T, Takayabu I
research: Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences
Published: December 9, 2020
Relationship between physical and biogeochemical parameters and the scenario dependence of the transient climate response to cumulative carbon emissions
Kaoru Tachiiri
research: Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences
Published: November 13, 2020
Model improvement and future projection of permafrost processes in a global land surface model
Tokuta Yokohata, Kazuyuki Saito, Kumiko Takata, Tomoko Nitta, Yusuke Satoh, Tomohiro Hajima, Tetsuo Sueyoshi, Go Iwahana
research: Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences
Published: November 11, 2020
Development of Integrated Land Simulator
Tomoko Nitta, Takashi Arakawa, Misako Hatono, Akira Takeshima and Kei Yoshimura
research: Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences
Published: November 9, 2020
Future dynamic sea level change in the western subtropical North Pacific associated with ocean heat uptake and heat redistribution by ocean circulation under global warming
Suzuki T, Tatebe H
review: Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences
Published: October 20, 2020
Two decades of Earth system modeling with an emphasis on Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate (MIROC)
Michio Kawamiya, Tomohiro Hajima, Kaoru Tachiiri, Shingo Watanabe, Tokuta Yokohata
research: Human geosciences
Published: October 7, 2020
Development of a global sediment dynamics model
Hatono M, Yoshimura K
review: Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences
Published: October 7, 2020
d4PDF: large-ensemble and high-resolution climate simulations for global warming risk assessment
Masayoshi Ishii, Nobuhito Mori
research: Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences
Published: October 2, 2020
Future projection of greenhouse gas emissions due to permafrost degradation using a simple numerical scheme with a global land surface model
Tokuta Yokohata, Kazuyuki Saito, Akihiko Ito, Hiroshi Ohno, Katsumasa Tanaka, Tomohiro Hajima, Go Iwahana
research: Biogeosciences
Published: September 23, 2020
Biogeophysical and biogeochemical impacts of land-use change simulated by MIROC-ES2L
Ito A, Hajima T.
research: Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences
Published: August 26, 2020
Evaluation of aerosol iron solubility over Australian coastal regions based on inverse modeling: implications of bushfires on bioaccessible iron concentrations in the Southern Hemisphere
Ito A, Perron M.M.G, Proemse, B.C, Strzelec M, Gault-Ringold M, Boyd P.W, Bowie A. R
research: Interdisciplinary research
Published: August 24, 2020
Millennium time-scale experiments on climate-carbon cycle with doubled CO2 concentration
Hajima T, Yamamoto A, Kawamiya M, Su X, Watanabe M, Ohgaito R, Tatebe H
research: Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences
Published: August 12, 2020
Typhoon-induced precipitation characterization over northern Japan: a case study for typhoons in 2016
Nayak S, Takemi T
research: Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences
Published: August 10, 2020
Global and Arctic effective radiative forcing of anthropogenic gases and aerosols in MRI-ESM2.0
Oshima N, Yukimoto S, Deushi M, Koshiro T, Kawai H, Tanaka TY, Yoshida K
research: Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences
Published: July 29, 2020
Assessing the effects of climate change on flood inundation in the lower Mekong Basin using high-resolution AGCM outputs
Try S, Tanaka S, Tanaka K, Sayama T, Lee G, Oeurng C
research: Interdisciplinary research
Published: July 22, 2020
Mapping simulated circum-Arctic organic carbon, ground ice, and vulnerability of ice-rich permafrost to degradation
Saito K, Machiya H, Iwahana G, Ohno H, Yokohata T
research: Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences
Published: June 29, 2020
Detection of the Oyashio and Kuroshio fronts under the projected climate change in the 21st century
Nishikawa H, Nishikawa S, Ishizaki H, Tsuyoshi Wakamatsu T, Ishikawa Y
research: Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences
Published: June 23, 2020
Scalability of future climate changes across Japan examined with large-ensemble simulations at +1.5 K, +2 K, and +4 K global warming levels
Nosaka M, Ishii M, Shiogama H, Mizuta R, Murata A, Kawase H, Sasaki H
research: Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences
Published: March 11, 2020
Changes in extremely heavy and light snow-cover winters due to global warming over high mountainous areas in central Japan
Kawase H, Yamazaki T, Sugimoto S, Sasai S, Ito R, Hamada T, Kuribayashi M, Fujita M, Murata A, Nosaka M, Sasaki H
research: Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences
Published: March 2, 2020
Arid/humid patterns over Asia in response to national-committed emission reductions under the Paris agreement
Fang Wang, Jintao Zhang
research: Atmospheric and hydrospheric sciences
Published: January 9, 2020
Benefits of high-resolution downscaling experiments for assessing strong wind hazard at local scales in complex terrain: a case study of Typhoon Songda (2004)
Tetsuya Takemi, Rui Ito